Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.1%
Tenerife
26.9%
Draw
20.0%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Tenerife
vs
0.76
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.2%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
11.5%
0-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.6%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
3.3%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).