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17 Feb 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.1%
Queens Park
29.6%
Draw
46.3%
Raith Rvs

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Queens Park

vs
1.52

Raith Rvs

Markets

BTTS52.6%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
0-1
9.8%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.9%
2-1
6.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).