Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.5%
Genk
25.3%
Draw
35.2%
St Truiden
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Genk
vs
1.48
St Truiden
Markets
BTTS62.0%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.3%
2-0
5.8%
0-0
5.3%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).