Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.1%
Motherwell
14.6%
Draw
6.3%
Livingston
Expected Goals (xG)
2.54
Motherwell
vs
0.60
Livingston
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.560.8%
Over 3.538.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.9%
3-0
11.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
4-0
7.5%
3-1
7.1%
1-1
6.9%
0-0
4.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-0
3.8%
2-2
2.5%
5-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).