Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.4%
Chertsey Town
18.1%
Draw
56.5%
Basford United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Chertsey Town
vs
2.57
Basford United
Markets
BTTS75.6%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.592.5%
Over 2.580.1%
Over 3.562.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
1-3
6.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-3
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-4
4.3%
0-3
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
0-1
3.7%
2-4
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).