Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.6%
Leeds
29.1%
Draw
26.4%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Leeds
vs
1.11
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
9.0%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).