Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.1%
Harpenden Town
16.0%
Draw
70.9%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Harpenden Town
vs
2.56
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS58.7%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.569.3%
Over 3.548.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
8.0%
0-3
7.8%
0-1
7.4%
1-1
7.0%
1-4
5.1%
0-4
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
2-3
4.0%
2-1
3.7%
1-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).