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04 Oct 2025 · 13:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.4%
Vukovar
28.8%
Draw
48.8%
Hajduk Split

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Vukovar

vs
1.52

Hajduk Split

Markets

BTTS49.8%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
0-1
11.2%
0-0
9.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).