Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →87.3%
Worthing
9.5%
Draw
3.2%
Havant & Waterlooville
Expected Goals (xG)
2.83
Worthing
vs
0.39
Havant & Waterlooville
Markets
BTTS30.3%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.0%
3-0
15.1%
1-0
11.4%
4-0
10.7%
2-1
6.2%
5-0
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
1-1
4.3%
4-1
4.2%
0-0
3.8%
5-1
2.4%
0-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).