Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.9%
Lorient
12.7%
Draw
6.4%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
2.64
Lorient
vs
0.60
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.6%
3-0
12.0%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
4-0
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
1-1
6.0%
4-1
4.8%
5-0
4.2%
0-0
3.7%
5-1
2.5%
0-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).