Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.5%
Middlesbrough
25.2%
Draw
16.4%
Preston
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Middlesbrough
vs
0.82
Preston
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.6%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).