Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.3%
Chesterfield
25.8%
Draw
30.8%
Bromley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Chesterfield
vs
1.36
Bromley
Markets
BTTS61.1%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.8%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).