Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.1%
Wigan
27.1%
Draw
25.8%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Wigan
vs
0.83
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS39.2%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.560.4%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.5%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).