Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.5%
Cordoba
21.7%
Draw
26.8%
Ceuta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Cordoba
vs
1.37
Ceuta
Markets
BTTS64.2%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.543.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.0%
2-0
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
4.9%
3-0
4.5%
3-2
4.3%
0-0
3.4%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).