Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.5%
Stockport
18.0%
Draw
12.6%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
2.53
Stockport
vs
1.02
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.568.7%
Over 3.547.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.2%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
3-0
7.8%
1-0
6.7%
4-1
5.0%
4-0
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-2
4.0%
1-2
3.8%
0-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).