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05 Dec 2021 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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75.0%
Tottenham
17.9%
Draw
7.2%
Norwich

Expected Goals (xG)

2.37

Tottenham

vs
0.64

Norwich

Markets

BTTS43.7%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.9%
3-0
11.0%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
1-1
8.5%
3-1
7.0%
4-0
6.5%
0-0
6.0%
4-1
4.1%
5-0
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
1-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).