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21 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.8%
Waasland-Beveren
23.6%
Draw
56.5%
Anderlecht

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Waasland-Beveren

vs
1.88

Anderlecht

Markets

BTTS55.0%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
0-3
6.0%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
1-0
5.0%
2-3
3.2%
1-4
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).