Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.5%
Erzgebirge Aue
17.6%
Draw
70.9%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Erzgebirge Aue
vs
2.57
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS58.4%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.568.7%
Over 3.547.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-3
8.0%
1-1
8.0%
0-1
6.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-4
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
2-3
3.9%
0-0
3.6%
2-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).