Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.3%
Livorno
29.6%
Draw
24.1%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Livorno
vs
0.95
Spezia
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.1%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).