Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.9%
Celta
30.5%
Draw
19.6%
Getafe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Celta
vs
0.66
Getafe
Markets
BTTS34.6%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.556.8%
Over 2.529.6%
Over 3.512.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.3%
0-0
15.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
11.5%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-0
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
0-2
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).