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DHT: 11CSV

29 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.3%
Benevento
24.0%
Draw
49.7%
Udinese

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Benevento

vs
1.66

Udinese

Markets

BTTS54.8%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.3%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
5.3%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).