Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.8%
Bari
27.3%
Draw
52.9%
Palermo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Bari
vs
1.61
Palermo
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
0-1
11.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
9.3%
1-0
6.2%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).