Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.1%
AFC Wimbledon
28.9%
Draw
23.0%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.75
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.558.2%
Over 2.531.6%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.6%
0-0
13.4%
1-1
12.2%
0-1
10.9%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
4.7%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
3.9%
3-1
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).