Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.7%
Brentford
25.7%
Draw
54.7%
Arsenal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Brentford
vs
1.84
Arsenal
Markets
BTTS55.9%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.5%
0-1
8.8%
0-0
7.1%
1-3
6.1%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
2-2
5.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-3
3.2%
2-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).