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07 Nov 2015

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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84.4%
Dunfermline
11.7%
Draw
3.9%
Peterhead

Expected Goals (xG)

2.77

Dunfermline

vs
0.48

Peterhead

Markets

BTTS36.2%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.541.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.8%
3-0
13.7%
1-0
10.3%
4-0
9.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-1
6.6%
1-1
5.5%
5-0
5.3%
4-1
4.6%
0-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
2-2
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).