Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.1%
Norwich
33.7%
Draw
36.1%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Norwich
vs
1.10
Southampton
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.3%
0-0
14.3%
0-1
11.8%
1-0
10.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).