Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.2%
Blackburn
27.6%
Draw
23.2%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Blackburn
vs
0.97
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).