Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.2%
Bury
19.6%
Draw
32.1%
Melksham Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Bury
vs
1.83
Melksham Town
Markets
BTTS75.0%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.577.5%
Over 3.558.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
7.8%
2-2
7.2%
1-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
3-2
5.4%
2-3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
1-0
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
3-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).