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09 Nov 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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80.5%
Leeds
13.7%
Draw
5.9%
Queens Park Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

2.74

Leeds

vs
0.65

Queens Park Rangers

Markets

BTTS45.3%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.565.9%
Over 3.544.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.6%
3-0
11.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
4-0
7.9%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
6.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-0
4.3%
0-0
3.9%
5-1
2.8%
2-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).