Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.0%
Lillestrøm
21.0%
Draw
57.0%
Sarpsborg 08
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Lillestrøm
vs
2.04
Sarpsborg 08
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.540.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
0-2
8.2%
0-1
8.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-2
5.9%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-3
4.0%
0-0
3.8%
1-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).