Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.0%
Tonbridge Angels
20.6%
Draw
32.4%
Thatcham Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Tonbridge Angels
vs
1.70
Thatcham Town
Markets
BTTS71.1%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.572.5%
Over 3.551.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
3-1
5.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-0
5.0%
3-2
4.9%
0-1
4.2%
2-3
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
3-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).