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20 Apr 2021 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.0%
Rochdale
24.0%
Draw
29.0%
Blackpool

Expected Goals (xG)

1.47

Rochdale

vs
1.09

Blackpool

Markets

BTTS50.1%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.4%
1-1
11.3%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).