Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.5%
Cittadella
28.3%
Draw
49.1%
Catanzaro
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Cittadella
vs
1.51
Catanzaro
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
11.6%
0-2
9.7%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).