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20 Mar 2022 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.4%
Lorient
23.7%
Draw
39.9%
Strasbourg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Lorient

vs
1.46

Strasbourg

Markets

BTTS56.7%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
0-1
9.2%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
0-0
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).