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18 Mar 2023 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.8%
Monza
31.3%
Draw
36.9%
Cremonese

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Monza

vs
1.00

Cremonese

Markets

BTTS37.4%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.556.5%
Over 2.529.8%
Over 3.512.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.1%
0-0
14.7%
1-0
13.7%
1-1
13.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
3.0%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
3-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).