Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.6%
Santa Clara
29.2%
Draw
20.2%
Estrela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Santa Clara
vs
0.77
Estrela
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
12.3%
2-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.2%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).