Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.7%
Brescia
27.1%
Draw
17.2%
Pordenone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Brescia
vs
0.79
Pordenone
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
11.7%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
6.3%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).