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05 Oct 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.6%
Salzburg
27.9%
Draw
23.5%
SK Rapid

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Salzburg

vs
0.96

SK Rapid

Markets

BTTS48.6%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).