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DHT: 01

28 Oct 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.6%
İstanbul Başakşehir
25.6%
Draw
12.8%
Eyupspor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.00

İstanbul Başakşehir

vs
0.86

Eyupspor

Markets

BTTS52.4%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
2-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.0%
0-0
8.2%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.3%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).