Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.1%
Erzgebirge Aue
28.1%
Draw
30.9%
Ingolstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Erzgebirge Aue
vs
1.23
Ingolstadt
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-1
7.2%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).