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03 Oct 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.0%
Solihull
27.7%
Draw
50.3%
Rochdale

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Solihull

vs
1.54

Rochdale

Markets

BTTS48.9%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
0-1
11.9%
0-2
9.9%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).