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AHT: 22CSV

22 Nov 2025 · 15:00

York

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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10.4%
Brackley Town
20.1%
Draw
69.5%
York

Expected Goals (xG)

0.72

Brackley Town

vs
2.14

York

Markets

BTTS45.9%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
13.2%
0-1
11.6%
1-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-3
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
0-4
5.0%
1-4
3.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-2
3.4%
2-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).