Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.6%
Sampdoria
16.2%
Draw
75.3%
Napoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Sampdoria
vs
2.29
Napoli
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.533.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.2%
0-1
12.6%
0-3
10.9%
1-2
8.9%
1-1
7.6%
1-3
6.8%
0-4
6.2%
0-0
5.3%
1-4
3.9%
1-0
3.5%
0-5
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).