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02 Sept 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.2%
Sporting Khalsa
19.3%
Draw
18.5%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

2.18

Sporting Khalsa

vs
1.10

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS59.0%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.563.8%
Over 3.541.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
1-1
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
3-0
6.5%
2-2
5.4%
1-2
5.0%
0-1
4.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-1
3.9%
4-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).