Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.0%
Werder Bremen
24.9%
Draw
19.1%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Werder Bremen
vs
0.94
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.5%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.0%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).