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DHT: 01

22 Nov 2024 · 19:45

Dender

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.2%
Antwerp
27.2%
Draw
19.6%
Dender

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Antwerp

vs
0.80

Dender

Markets

BTTS43.0%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
11.3%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).