Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.5%
Sociedad
25.7%
Draw
26.8%
Ath Bilbao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Sociedad
vs
1.11
Ath Bilbao
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.4%
0-1
7.4%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).