Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.9%
Setubal
28.4%
Draw
38.7%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Setubal
vs
1.12
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
11.2%
1-2
7.6%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).