Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.1%
Fulham
27.4%
Draw
36.5%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Fulham
vs
1.50
Brentford
Markets
BTTS61.8%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
0-1
6.0%
1-0
5.9%
0-2
5.7%
2-0
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).