Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.4%
Maidenhead
26.5%
Draw
26.0%
Wealdstone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Maidenhead
vs
1.15
Wealdstone
Markets
BTTS55.9%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).